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Predicting geographic distribution and habitat suitability of Opuntia streptacantha in paleoclimatic, current, and future scenarios in Mexico

dc.contributor.authorCruz Jiménez, Israel
dc.contributor.authorDelgado Sánchez, Pablo
dc.contributor.authorGuerrero González, María de la Luz
dc.contributor.authorPuente Martínez, Raúl
dc.contributor.authorFlores Rivas, Joel David
dc.contributor.authorDe Nova Vázquewz, José Artúro
dc.date.accessioned2024-05-30T21:28:18Z
dc.date.available2024-05-30T21:28:18Z
dc.date.issued2023
dc.identifier.citationCruz-Jiménez, I., Delgado-Sánchez, P., Guerrero-González, M. d. l. L., Puente-Martínez, R., Flores, J., & De-Nova, J. A. (2023). Predicting geographic distribution and habitat suitability of Opuntia streptacantha in paleoclimatic, current, and future scenarios in Mexico. Ecology and Evolution, 13, e10050. https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.10050
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11627/6539
dc.description.abstractMexican territory is one of the centers of origin and dispersion of the genus Opuntia, where several of its species have been an important plant resource for people in arid and semiarid zones. Opuntia streptacantha is widely distributed in Mexico; however, precise aspects of its geographic distribution and ecological status are still unknown. Here, we modeled its potential distribution under paleoclimatic, current, and future conditions through maximum entropy and predictions from 824 records and seven environmental variables. Potential distribution of O.?streptacantha in the interglacial period was contracted and slightly north than current distribution, with 44,773?km2 of optimal habitat. In other past periods, the central location of potential distribution coincides with the actual current distribution, but the period of the last glacial maximum was characterized by 201?km2 of very suitable habitat, absent in interglacial, current, and future periods. The future model suggests that potential distribution will move toward the south of the Mexican territory. Synthesis and applications. The potential distribution of O.?streptacantha can be applied for the conservation and management of the species, and also in the selection of areas with crassicaule scrubs for protection, conservation, and reproduction of species resistant to the hostile conditions of arid and semiarid zones of Mexican territory, where the structure and composition of the vegetation will be affected in the next 100?years.
dc.publisherWiley
dc.rightsAttribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internacional
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
dc.subjectArid and semiarid zones
dc.subjectChihuahuan desert
dc.subjectDistribution modeling
dc.subjectEcological modeling
dc.subjectOptimal habitat
dc.subjectPaleoclimatic period
dc.subjectPotential distribution
dc.subject.classificationECOLOGÍA
dc.titlePredicting geographic distribution and habitat suitability of Opuntia streptacantha in paleoclimatic, current, and future scenarios in Mexico
dc.typearticle
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.10050
dc.rights.accessAcceso Abierto


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Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internacional
Except where otherwise noted, this item's license is described as Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internacional