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Distribution Patterns of Invasive Buffelgrass (Cenchrus ciliaris) in Mexico Estimated with Climate Niche Models under the Current and Future Climate

dc.contributor.authorSiller Clavel, Pablo
dc.contributor.authorBadano, Ernesto Ivan
dc.contributor.authorVillarreal Guerrero, Federico
dc.contributor.authorPrieto Amparan, Jesus A.
dc.contributor.authorPinedo Álvarez, Alfredo
dc.contributor.authorCorrales Lerma, Raúl
dc.contributor.authorÁlvarez Holguín, Alan
dc.contributor.authorHernández Quiroz Nathalie S.
dc.date.accessioned2023-06-14T16:12:31Z
dc.date.available2023-06-14T16:12:31Z
dc.date.issued2022
dc.identifier.citationSiller-Clavel, P.; Badano, E.I.; Villarreal-Guerrero, F.; Prieto-Amparán, J.A.; Pinedo-Alvarez, A.; Corrales-Lerma, R.; Álvarez-Holguín, A.; Hernández-Quiroz, N.S. Distribution Patterns of Invasive Buffelgrass (Cenchrus ciliaris) in Mexico Estimated with Climate Niche Models under the Current and Future Climate. Plants 2022, 11, 1160. https://doi.org/10.3390/plants11091160
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11627/6357
dc.description.abstract"In Mexico, buffelgrass (Cenchrus ciliaris) was introduced in the middle of the 20th century. Currently, buffelgrass has become an invasive species and has colonized various ecosystems in the country. In addition to its invasive capacity, climate change is a factor that has to be taken into account when considering how to effectively manage and control this species. The climatic niche models (CNM) and their projections for climate change scenarios allow for estimating the extent of biological invasions. Our study aimed to calibrate a CNM for buffelgrass in Mexico under the current climatic conditions and to project the extent of its biological invasion under climate change scenarios. For that, we used MaxEnt to generate the current CNM and to detect if climate change could cause future changes, we then evaluated the distribution patterns over the periods of 2041–2060, 2061–2080, and 2081–2100 for all the shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs). Linear regressions were used to compare the outputs between current and future scenarios. Under the current climate, the CNM estimated that 42.2% of the continental surface of Mexico is highly suitable for buffelgrass. The regression analyses indicated no effects from climate change on the distribution of buffelgrass. Moreover, when the projected period is further in the future, and when the SSPs intensify, the surface of suitable areas for the species increases. These analyses clearly suggest Mexico is facing a biological invasion from buffelgrass, which may represent a threat to native biodiversity."
dc.publisherMDPI
dc.rightsAttribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internacional
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
dc.subjectShared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs)
dc.subjectRegression analyses
dc.subjectMultivariate environmental similarity surface (MESS)
dc.subject.classificationBIOLOGÍA VEGETAL (BOTÁNICA)
dc.titleDistribution Patterns of Invasive Buffelgrass (Cenchrus ciliaris) in Mexico Estimated with Climate Niche Models under the Current and Future Climate
dc.typearticle
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.3390/plants11010131
dc.rights.accessAcceso Abierto


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Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internacional
Except where otherwise noted, this item's license is described as Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internacional